January 26, 2013: Complacency, Who Cares?

Right now in the market there is no fear. The VIX is at a five-year low. The AAII survey shows more than 50% of investors are bullish and less than 25% are bearish. Record money is flowing into mutual funds, but last week money flowed out of ETF’s, indicating individuals are flocking into the market while institutions are pulling money out. It is hard to know when this will go bad, but it always does…

Listen or Download HereNWIS 01272013

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January 20, 2013: I’m A Little Short…

Today we spent some time looking at shorting stocks, as well as the coming volatility with all the upcoming “cliffs”. Learn how to prepare for what’s next!

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January 13, 2013: The Dog That Isn’t Barking…

Stocks are up, volatility is down. More money went into long-only mutual funds this week than anytime since March of 2000 (I seem to remember something happened after then, but I could be wrong…)

We have hit our debt limit in this country and the coming debate will be ugly. Amazingly, over the past few days there hasn’t been a single story on the front page of Google News about it. Everyone is focused on other things (like the new coach of the Cleveland Browns or who’s saying grace for the President). When the focus comes back to the debt ceiling, so will the volatility. Find out what this means for you and your investments!

Listen or Download HereNWIS 01132013

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January 6, 2013: Meet The New Year, Same As…

Well, now everything is fine. We cut a deal on the Fiscal Cliff that will reduce the deficit by $60B/year, I guess there is nothing left to worry about. The fact that we are increasing spending by $30B/year in the same agreement, in addition to the $1T/year deficit we are running and the fact that we are up against the debt ceiling should be of no concern…

Either that or we are screwed more than ever, you make the call…

If you want my thoughts: NWIS 01062013

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