December 20, 2014: Do You Believe In Santa Claus (Rallies)?

This show was recorded on December 15th, before the Fed meeting and before the huge run-up at the end of the week. The show focused on the fact that the market had been falling since December 8th, which was a bad sign going into what I believe will be a weak Q1-Q2 2015. We spent some time going over possible reasons for the market pullback, focusing on concerns that the Fed would increase rates faster than the market expected given the perceived stronger than anticipated jobs report on December 5th, although the oil story, Russia and Greece were also possible factors. What was noted in particular in the show was the importance of the 12/17 Fed announcement and its impact on the market. If we got a rally after the meeting, we still would have a chance to buy some cheap Puts for protection and speculation. If not, things could get ugly fast. Well, we now know that the rally came in a huge way. This gives additional support to my contention that this market is almost, if not totally, Fed-driven. This will come back to haunt us once the market comes to believe that the Fed will raise rates. I don’t think the Fed can raise rates, but that said, it is the belief that will drive the market, not the reality. From my perspective, this rally does not change any of my concerns for 2015, but it does give us some time to buy those long-term Puts.

Learn more here!

Click Here For Free CD Offer!

If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to: phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾550 KFYI: Sunday at 4am

◾910 KGME: Sunday at 4am

◾1510 Money Radio: Tuesday 8am and Saturday 7am

◾1100 KFNX: Thursday at 4pm and Sunday at noon

◾910 KGME: Saturday at 6:30am

Of course, you can always find Next Week In Stocks on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturday at 1pm

◾1230 KFYI Business: Saturday at noon

◾1230 KFYI Business: Sunday at 10am

December 6, 2014: What’s Up (or not) With Oil Prices?

In the popular press (perhaps oxymoronic), there is much discussion of the “tax cut effect” of lower oil prices, and how that will help spur the economy. I’m not so sure. Yes, this will help people at the lower end of the economic scale, and they do need help right now, but there is no free-lunch. Others will suffer from this and the net impact on the economy is not as clear, especially if this continues (which I believe it will). I am not advocating higher prices, I’m a free-market guy, but I am suggesting that there are at least two sides of every story. If you want a different perspective on what’s happening with oil and its impact on our economy and market, check out this week’s show!

Click Here For Free CD Offer!

If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to: phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾550 KFYI: Sunday at 4am

◾910 KGME: Sunday at 4am

◾1510 Money Radio: Tuesday 8am and Saturday 7am

◾1100 KFNX: Thursday at 4pm and Sunday at noon

◾910 KGME: Saturday at 6:30am

Of course, you can always find Next Week In Stocks on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturday at 1pm

◾1230 KFYI Business: Saturday at noon

◾1230 KFYI Business: Sunday at 10am