December 17, 2016: Losing Interest

This show was recorded on 12/14/16, the day the Fed hiked rates another 1/4 point. The market rallied into an area of supply and then immediately fell into an area of demand, and then rallied from there. It was a classic example of what really drives the market, supply and demand. It isn’t “news” or earnings, it is willing buyers and sellers.

In this week’s show we focused on that idea, as well as describing a little more of why I refer to this as a “hollow” market. The bottom line is this:  the stock market, housing market, GDP and government budget are all dependent on low interest rates. Whether the Fed continues to raise rates, or if the market raises on its own, trouble must come to this market. The problem is that the timing of this is unknowable, so we need to know how to make money in both up and down markets. We must also learn to manage risk in multiple directions. These are the macro themes of this week’s episode…

To learn more, check it out here: 

Given this week’s topic we are going to be conducting a special class, “Making Money In Any Market”.  If you would like free tickets to this class, call 84-48-Income (844.846.2663) and tell them that you read about it on the Next Week In Stocks website. I hope to see you there!

If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to:  phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾Money Radio 1510 and 99.3: Thursdays and Saturdays at noon

◾1100 KFNX:  Thursdays at 3pm

◾960 The Patriot:  Saturdays at 1pm

◾1360 KPXQ:  Saturdays at noon

Of course, you can always find “Next Week In Stocks” on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturdays at 1pm and Sundays at 4am

October 3, 2015: Fasten Your Seatbelts, We Are Expecting Turbulence Ahead…

This show was recorded on Wednesday evening, September 30. Today, Russia started bombing Syria, at least 17 bombs went off in one city in China, all Fed regions reported negative growth for the first time since 2009 and ADP reported that we have lost manufacturing jobs year-to-date, also for the first time since 2009. There is an Emerging Market crisis on the horizon, the EU is at risk, China is slowing down precipitously, the world is likely headed to recession and everyone wonders when the Fed will raise rates… Again, I don’t see the Fed raising before 2017 at the earliest and easing/negative interest rates are more likely than an increase. That said, if they do raise, lookout. It could get ugly in a hurry in both the stock and housing markets.

Overall the market continues to weaken. Watch the response to this week’s jobs numbers. My guess is that even if you get an initial bounce, it won’t hold and the down move will start again next week. But you may not even get a bounce.

Knowing how to invest in this type of environment is key. If you would like to learn more about what to do now, I am going to be teaching a special one day class: “How to trade and invest in a volatile market”. If you would like free tickets, call 84-48-Income (844.846.2663) and tell them that you read about the class on the Next Week In Stocks website. Hope to see you there!

Click here to check it out:

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If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to:  phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾Money Radio 1510 and 99.3: Thursday’s and Saturday’s at noon

◾1100 KFNX: Sunday’s and Tuesday’s at noon

◾Of course, you can always find “Next Week In Stocks” on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturday at 1pm and Sunday at 4am

May 9, 2015: Is Bad News Still Good News?

This week we talked in general about the manipulation of both government and corporate numbers. This show was recorded before the May jobs numbers came out, so we speculated a little on how they might turn out and what that might mean for the markets. Watch what happens on both Friday and Monday for a clue as to where markets may be headed longer term…

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If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to: phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾550 KFYI: Sunday at 4am

◾910 KGME: Sunday at 4am

◾960 The Patriot: Sunday at 10am

◾Money Radio 1510 and 99.3: Thursday at noon and Saturday 10am

◾1100 KFNX: Thursday at 4pm and Sunday at noon

◾910 KGME: Saturday at 6:30am

Of course, you can always find Next Week In Stocks on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturday at 1pm and Sunday at 2pm

◾1230 KFYI 2: Saturday at noon and Sunday at 10am

May 2, 2015: Does The Fed Know About Shrinkage?

Last week we suggested that GDP growth for Q1 was likely to be weak, maybe even negative, if the numbers weren’t cooked. GDP came in this week at .2% growth vs. a forecast of 1% and everyone’s blaming the weather. Unless our entire economy now consists of clam chowder and Boston Baked Beans, it’s not the weather. In most of the country temperatures were above normal this winter.

If it weren’t for increasing inventories, and the Fed’s belief that prices fell last quarter, GDP would have been negative. In fact, on a per capita basis we were still negative. Things are slowing down.

Consensus economic forecast for Q2 GDP is 3.4% as of today. Goldman Sachs has it at 3%, the Atlanta Fed at .9%. I think they are all potentially optimistic. I would look for below 1% growth for Q2, below 2% for the year and potentially a revision to negative for Q1. With all that, the market may well go higher, since the Fed is less likely to act.

This show was taped before the market opened Friday. I said in the show that Friday would be important. If the market fell, it may well continue to drop, but it may well get a bounce. It did finish significantly higher and may continue up, but I still think there is more downside to come at some point, so be prepared.

As a note, in our April 22 class we put on the SPY Put trade that we have discussed many times on the show. We closed it out for a 25% profit on 4/30, so the trade is still working. If you want to know more, check out this week’s show here!

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If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to: phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾550 KFYI: Sunday at 4am

◾910 KGME: Sunday at 4am

◾960 The Patriot: Sunday at 10am

◾Money Radio 1510 and 99.3: Thursday at noon and Saturday 10am

◾1100 KFNX: Thursday at 4pm and Sunday at noon

◾910 KGME: Saturday at 6:30am

Of course, you can always find Next Week In Stocks on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturday at 1pm and Sunday at 2pm

◾1230 KFYI 2: Saturday at noon and Sunday at 10am

February 21, 2015: Top Of The Pops?

This week we covered a lot of ground. We talked a little Mid-East policy, some William F. Buckley, and most importantly, where we are in this market. As we always say, there is no certainty in the market, but this one is sure starting to look “toppy”. Check out what is concerning us here:  

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If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to: phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾550 KFYI: Sunday at 4am

◾910 KGME: Sunday at 4am

◾1510 Money Radio: Tuesday 8am and Saturday 7am

◾1100 KFNX: Thursday at 4pm and Sunday at noon

◾910 KGME: Saturday at 6:30am

Of course, you can always find Next Week In Stocks on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturday at 1pm

◾1230 KFYI Business: Saturday at noon

◾1230 KFYI Business: Sunday at 10am

December 20, 2014: Do You Believe In Santa Claus (Rallies)?

This show was recorded on December 15th, before the Fed meeting and before the huge run-up at the end of the week. The show focused on the fact that the market had been falling since December 8th, which was a bad sign going into what I believe will be a weak Q1-Q2 2015. We spent some time going over possible reasons for the market pullback, focusing on concerns that the Fed would increase rates faster than the market expected given the perceived stronger than anticipated jobs report on December 5th, although the oil story, Russia and Greece were also possible factors. What was noted in particular in the show was the importance of the 12/17 Fed announcement and its impact on the market. If we got a rally after the meeting, we still would have a chance to buy some cheap Puts for protection and speculation. If not, things could get ugly fast. Well, we now know that the rally came in a huge way. This gives additional support to my contention that this market is almost, if not totally, Fed-driven. This will come back to haunt us once the market comes to believe that the Fed will raise rates. I don’t think the Fed can raise rates, but that said, it is the belief that will drive the market, not the reality. From my perspective, this rally does not change any of my concerns for 2015, but it does give us some time to buy those long-term Puts.

Learn more here!

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If you would like to submit a question to the show, or to give us feedback, please send an email to: phoenix@tradingacademy.com. Also, check out our sister show, “The Right Side Of The Trade” on the following stations:

◾550 KFYI: Sunday at 4am

◾910 KGME: Sunday at 4am

◾1510 Money Radio: Tuesday 8am and Saturday 7am

◾1100 KFNX: Thursday at 4pm and Sunday at noon

◾910 KGME: Saturday at 6:30am

Of course, you can always find Next Week In Stocks on:

◾550 KFYI: Saturday at 1pm

◾1230 KFYI Business: Saturday at noon

◾1230 KFYI Business: Sunday at 10am

October 28, 2012: What’s Going Down?

We spent some time going around the world looking at the good, the bad and the ugly and what it means for your investments. There is some significant downside pressure, be careful this week (and rest of this year, and next year, and – well you get the idea).

Check it out now!

Listen or Download Here: Next Week In Stocks 10282012

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